PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dodstered

0x0fdf883f174ddf8458d2cfc0fc78cbe4a59e7cdb

Realised P&L
$-35.38
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$343.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2861.000$212.41+$151.61
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$116.28+$66.28
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.035$5.39−$44.61
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.3030.055$4.65−$20.95
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3780.034$4.43−$45.57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes0.3370.000$0.00−$50.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.3970.000$0.00−$60.73
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1730.000$0.00−$30.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$45.00
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$30.00
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1520.000$0.00−$37.54

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-27 23:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.27$10.80
01-27 23:40Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.28$5.60
01-27 23:38Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.11$12.54
01-27 23:38Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.3499999895$20.00
01-26 00:07Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999909$15.00
01-25 23:44Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
01-25 21:28Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.4199999955$20.52
01-25 21:28Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.2$10.00
01-25 21:24Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999941$20.00
01-25 11:35Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3777335939$50.00
01-25 11:33Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? BUY0.0969999972$30.00
01-25 11:32Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$50.00
01-25 11:29Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?BUY0.3366336606$50.00
01-25 11:28Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.3099999895$20.00
01-25 11:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.15$45.00