dodstered
0x0fdf883f174ddf8458d2cfc0fc78cbe4a59e7cdb
- Realised P&L
- $-35.38
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $343.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.286 | 1.000 | $212.41 | +$151.61 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 1.000 | $116.28 | +$66.28 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.035 | $5.39 | −$44.61 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.303 | 0.055 | $4.65 | −$20.95 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.378 | 0.034 | $4.43 | −$45.57 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.73 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.54 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-27 23:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.27 | $10.80 |
| 01-27 23:40 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 01-27 23:38 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $12.54 |
| 01-27 23:38 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999895 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 00:07 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999909 | $15.00 |
| 01-25 23:44 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 21:28 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999955 | $20.52 |
| 01-25 21:28 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 01-25 21:24 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999941 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 11:35 | Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3777335939 | $50.00 |
| 01-25 11:33 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | BUY | 0.0969999972 | $30.00 |
| 01-25 11:32 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 01-25 11:29 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.3366336606 | $50.00 |
| 01-25 11:28 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999895 | $20.00 |
| 01-25 11:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $45.00 |