themoses
0x0fd7ebd33a3c979d2077bc35bf1afcd97ccc1e63
- Realised P&L
- $-199.29
- Volume
- $19.6k
- Markets traded
- 936
- Open portfolio
- $0.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded936
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.93at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$28.01at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
- +$27.14at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$26.79at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
- +$23.83at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 01:50 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-06 00:12 | Spread: Saints (-1.5) | SELL | 0.48 | $2.40 |
| 09-19 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 23:56 | Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-10 23:56 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-05 19:57 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 07-01 00:57 | New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.196 | $0.98 |
| 07-01 00:57 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 07-01 00:57 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 06-30 23:57 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.19 |
| 06-28 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28? | SELL | 0.35 | $2.31 |
| 06-28 01:57 | Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 06-25 23:57 | San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 06-22 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22? | SELL | 0.532 | $2.93 |
| 06-21 19:06 | Mackenzie McDonald vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |