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Traders

themoses

0x0fd7ebd33a3c979d2077bc35bf1afcd97ccc1e63

Realised P&L
$-199.29
Volume
$19.6k
Markets traded
936
Open portfolio
$0.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded936
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia target Kyiv on October 12, 2026? · No0.0800.055$0.25−$0.12
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? · No0.0800.043$0.21−$0.18
Israel military action against Lebanon on October 15? · No0.2200.130$0.17−$0.12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$3.36
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$2.60
Montreux: Martina Trevisan vs Guiomar Maristany · Martina Trevisan0.0300.000$0.00−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$3.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00−$3.81
Chicago Cubs vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins0.0800.000$0.00−$0.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00−$2.49
Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00−$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 01:50New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.32$1.60
10-06 00:12Spread: Saints (-1.5)SELL0.48$2.40
09-19 15:57Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19?SELL0.001$0.01
09-06 23:56Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?SELL0.002$0.01
07-10 23:56US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
07-05 19:57Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.54$2.70
07-01 00:57New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.196$0.98
07-01 00:57Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.77$3.85
07-01 00:57Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?SELL0.41$2.05
06-30 23:57Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?SELL0.13$1.19
06-28 11:57Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?SELL0.35$2.31
06-28 01:57Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersSELL0.3$1.50
06-25 23:57San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta BravesSELL0.47$2.35
06-22 11:57Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C or below on June 22?SELL0.532$2.93
06-21 19:06Mackenzie McDonald vs. Felipe Meligeni Alves: Total Sets O/U 2.5BUY0.26$1.30
Trader themoses · PolyBot Pro