nthstghae
0x0fd75c301161ad3fbbcc746d1d338518f71bbf1e
- Realised P&L
- $-30.26
- Volume
- $15.7k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $35.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.205 | $32.80 | −$34.40 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $2.50 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.59at 0.900Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.41at 0.895Will Ethereum reach $4500 in September?
- +$1.28at 0.747Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?
- +$0.57at 0.960Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.56at 0.931Will XRP reach $2.90 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 01:45 | Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.50 |
| 08-10 08:55 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in August? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.50 |
| 07-06 03:19 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 16:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 08:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on June 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 05-09 02:24 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May? | BUY | 0.9929998406 | $2.00 |
| 04-23 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9939997081 | $2.52 |
| 03-17 06:48 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.51 |
| 01-23 05:59 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.64 |
| 01-07 03:14 | Over $100M committed to the Infinex public sale? | BUY | 0.996 | $27.60 |
| 01-07 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in January 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.00 |
| 12-17 06:16 | Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in December 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.75 |
| 12-06 13:20 | Solana all time high before 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $18.20 |
| 12-06 13:20 | Ethereum all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.9829999849 | $17.20 |
| 12-06 13:18 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.26 |