Aquetry
0x0fd578a3fadb3e87421b5bc75092f4158f13a85e
- Realised P&L
- $509.45
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.82at 0.718Will Palantir say "Slop" or "AI Slop" during earnings call?
- +$-3.59at 0.359Will Palantir say "Slop" or "AI Slop" during earnings call?
- +$-22.52at 0.116Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?
- +$-39.15at 0.788Will Apóllon Lemesoú win on 2026-08-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 08:07 | Will Sam Rockwell be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.641 | $38.46 |
| 08-13 06:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 08-13 02:44 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.43 | $86.00 |
| 08-12 03:05 | Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.71 | $355.00 |
| 08-12 02:58 | Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 08-12 02:47 | Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.41 | $111.06 |
| 08-12 02:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.8603568966 | $449.11 |
| 08-12 02:38 | Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | BUY | 0.09 | $10.45 |
| 08-11 15:46 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $434.30 |
| 08-11 15:44 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.87 | $435.00 |
| 08-11 15:38 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-23 House seat? | BUY | 0.86 | $430.00 |
| 08-11 15:36 | Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | BUY | 0.2047848361 | $49.97 |
| 08-11 15:31 | Will the Republican Party win the MS-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.9327400296 | $466.35 |
| 08-11 15:21 | Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat? | BUY | 0.8714336 | $435.72 |
| 08-11 15:20 | Will the Democratic Party win the NY-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.8964002 | $448.20 |