PolyBot

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Traders

Carey73

0x0fcf54049b790aa42a8f77599162e9e3107304ed

Realised P&L
$-21.42
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$13.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.6700.640$13.44−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 01:36Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?SELL0.73$15.33
10-01 22:35Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?SELL0.03$0.76
09-29 17:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.19$1.08
09-25 13:25Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.71$12.57
09-22 06:28Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?SELL0.06$0.97
09-22 05:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?SELL0.09$0.81
09-19 06:02Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%?SELL0.26$4.68
09-11 07:40Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?SELL0.13$3.28
09-05 04:59Will Marcelo Castro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?SELL0.17$1.23
08-27 11:01Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?SELL0.62$13.02
08-25 11:43Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election?SELL0.01$0.25
08-24 19:56Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?SELL0.45$9.45
08-22 06:28Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?SELL0.24$0.81
08-17 03:04Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.46$9.66
08-10 07:26Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?SELL0.41$8.61