Carey73
0x0fcf54049b790aa42a8f77599162e9e3107304ed
- Realised P&L
- $-21.42
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $13.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.640 | $13.44 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.90at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19?
- +$8.47at 0.470Oregon State vs. Tulsa
- +$7.99at 0.410Capitals vs. Hurricanes
- +$6.10at 0.420Oilers vs. Sabres
- +$4.41at 0.290Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-02 House election by 15%-20%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 01:36 | Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $15.33 |
| 10-01 22:35 | Will Simcha Rothman be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.76 |
| 09-29 17:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-03 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.19 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 13:25 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.71 | $12.57 |
| 09-22 06:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.97 |
| 09-22 05:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.81 |
| 09-19 06:02 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-15 House election by 30%-35%? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.68 |
| 09-11 07:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.28 |
| 09-05 04:59 | Will Marcelo Castro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.23 |
| 08-27 11:01 | Will Sílvia Cristina win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election? | SELL | 0.62 | $13.02 |
| 08-25 11:43 | Will Lisa Kearns win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 08-24 19:56 | Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election? | SELL | 0.45 | $9.45 |
| 08-22 06:28 | Will Benedita da Silva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.81 |
| 08-17 03:04 | Will AfD win 28-31 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.46 | $9.66 |
| 08-10 07:26 | Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election? | SELL | 0.41 | $8.61 |