rcshug
0x0fc8632b06dfdb0401e671a508bb81e67ced4af3
- Realised P&L
- $-580.72
- Volume
- $58.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,412
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,412
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.67at 0.180Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?
- +$76.37at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 20?
- +$27.74at 0.748Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on May 15?
- +$19.86at 0.954Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 25?
- +$19.38at 0.957Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.68 |
| 08-04 05:06 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-04 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-04 01:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-03 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-03 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 08-02 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.975 | $19.50 |
| 08-01 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 08-01 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.98 | $15.17 |
| 07-31 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 07-31 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 07-31 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |