PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rcshug

0x0fc8632b06dfdb0401e671a508bb81e67ced4af3

Realised P&L
$-832.28
Volume
$80.5k
Markets traded
1,571
Open portfolio
$235.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,571
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 20? · No0.9750.965$137.18$1.39
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 19? · No0.9800.999$36.18+$0.67
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 19? · No0.9800.997$18.93+$0.31
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 19? · No0.9800.995$18.91+$0.28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 20? · No0.9800.999$12.98+$0.24
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on September 19? · No0.9800.998$10.97+$0.19
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4? · No0.7370.000$0.00$36.86
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C or below on August 30? · No0.9400.000$0.00$592.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 19?BUY0.98$18.62
09-16 07:11Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.98$9.25
09-15 04:30Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 16?BUY0.983$23.59
09-14 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.9382857143$65.68
09-14 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.9192857143$64.35
09-14 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.8958571429$62.71
09-14 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.89$62.30
09-14 22:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.89$62.30
09-14 04:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 15?BUY0.9705714286$67.94
09-13 19:30Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 15?BUY0.98$0.07
09-13 07:30Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 14?BUY0.98$41.52
09-10 22:30Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 12?BUY0.98$28.42
09-08 06:58Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10?BUY0.98$9.80
09-06 19:30Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on September 8?BUY0.9775$46.92
09-05 06:58Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 6?BUY0.9527$66.69