rcshug
0x0fc8632b06dfdb0401e671a508bb81e67ced4af3
- Realised P&L
- $-832.28
- Volume
- $80.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,571
- Open portfolio
- $235.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,571
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$221.67at 0.180Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-22?
- +$79.80at 0.905Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on September 12?
- +$76.37at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 20?
- +$54.63at 0.935Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16?
- +$48.94at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $18.62 |
| 09-16 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.25 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.983 | $23.59 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9382857143 | $65.68 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9192857143 | $64.35 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.8958571429 | $62.71 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.30 |
| 09-14 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.89 | $62.30 |
| 09-14 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9705714286 | $67.94 |
| 09-13 19:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.98 | $0.07 |
| 09-13 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.98 | $41.52 |
| 09-10 22:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 12? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.42 |
| 09-08 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 09-06 19:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on September 8? | BUY | 0.9775 | $46.92 |
| 09-05 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9527 | $66.69 |