Aurosassd
0x0fc745934caba117090c1cf280ef4ef47556f04d
- Realised P&L
- $-14.77
- Volume
- $12.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $248.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.075 | $175.57 | −$81.73 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $72.63 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.38at 0.841Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.58at 0.840Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?
- +$8.00at 0.870Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.60at 0.118Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.00at 0.890Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 12:46 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $37.57 |
| 07-29 12:37 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $37.96 |
| 06-28 11:09 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.02 |
| 06-03 11:49 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $344.43 |
| 05-28 02:51 | Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $324.24 |
| 05-26 06:42 | Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $344.43 |
| 04-22 06:23 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8409999998 | $287.62 |
| 04-11 02:15 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $812.60 |