Orbit11
0x0fc64a2c403c1ab46d2c1da8643b9af25ea4843d
- Realised P&L
- $-842.44
- Volume
- $142.5k
- Markets traded
- 6,657
- Open portfolio
- $329.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,657
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.900 | 0.925 | $185.00 | +$5.00 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $46.75 | +$0.75 |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? · Yes | 0.900 | 0.900 | $45.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.890 | 0.875 | $43.75 | −$0.75 |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · No | 0.880 | 0.865 | $8.65 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.72at 0.830Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
- +$28.57at 0.840Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$27.74at 0.730Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$22.41at 0.870Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
- +$22.41at 0.870Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 03:05 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 11-02 03:04 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.12 |
| 11-02 00:26 | Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $16.00 |
| 11-01 23:19 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.010135 | $2.03 |
| 11-01 19:52 | Will Mark Scheifele record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 19:01 | Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority? | SELL | 0.89 | $38.63 |
| 11-01 16:46 | Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.053 | $1.06 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 15:43 | Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 11-01 10:26 | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 05:47 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31? | SELL | 0.023 | $4.60 |
| 11-01 05:15 | Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.25 |
| 11-01 03:30 | Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.24 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.036 | $1.16 |
| 11-01 02:58 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.038 | $0.56 |