PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Orbit11

0x0fc64a2c403c1ab46d2c1da8643b9af25ea4843d

Realised P&L
$-842.44
Volume
$142.5k
Markets traded
6,657
Open portfolio
$329.15

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,657
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? · No0.9000.925$185.00+$5.00
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.9200.935$46.75+$0.75
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? · Yes0.9000.900$45.00+$0.00
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? · No0.8900.875$43.75−$0.75
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? · No0.8800.865$8.65−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 03:05Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.04$0.80
11-02 03:04Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.056$1.12
11-02 00:26Next Israeli government formed by November 30, 2026?SELL0.04$16.00
11-01 23:19Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?SELL0.010135$2.03
11-01 19:52Will Mark Scheifele record 50+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?SELL0.005$0.10
11-01 19:01Spain General Election: PP + Vox Majority?SELL0.89$38.63
11-01 16:46Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?SELL0.053$1.06
11-01 16:11Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.03$1.50
11-01 15:43Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027?SELL0.03$6.00
11-01 10:26OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?SELL0.06$3.00
11-01 05:47Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Meta by December 31?SELL0.023$4.60
11-01 05:15Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Israel by December 31?SELL0.002$0.25
11-01 03:30Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?SELL0.05$1.24
11-01 02:58Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.036$1.16
11-01 02:58Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?SELL0.038$0.56