0x0fBe1376866F170215ca6c85d3CA09478fA78AF9-1769498159239
0x0fbe1376866f170215ca6c85d3ca09478fa78af9
- Realised P&L
- $-39.08
- Volume
- $773.31
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $10.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.825 | $10.46 | +$2.60 |
| Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? · Yes | 0.814 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Don’t Be Dumb by A$AP Rocky be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.43at 0.500Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
- +$6.59at 0.619Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$1.76at 0.857Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
- +$1.53at 0.930Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 00:48 | Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999874 | $7.86 |
| 06-13 09:33 | Will Olivia Rodrigo have a #1 hit in June? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.79 |
| 03-01 19:23 | Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.814197505 | $22.00 |
| 02-28 06:25 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.9099999971 | $21.76 |
| 02-28 06:20 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $21.76 |
| 02-28 00:37 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9779999996 | $21.92 |
| 02-20 22:08 | Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.9299999982 | $20.39 |
| 02-20 22:06 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.95 | $20.39 |
| 02-15 01:43 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.73 |
| 02-15 01:30 | Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | SELL | 0.129 | $10.73 |
| 02-12 23:41 | Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days? | BUY | 0.5664672069 | $47.10 |
| 02-12 23:40 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | SELL | 0.8085822176 | $47.11 |
| 02-10 05:00 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.6299998974 | $1.72 |
| 02-10 04:46 | Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.71 |
| 02-09 18:18 | Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? | BUY | 0.6099999589 | $1.93 |