bonnbrt
0x0fb4cafb872df96de01351a1e1abb15f43c0d31c
- Realised P&L
- $-17.63
- Volume
- $55.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.997 | 0.991 | $3.0k | −$17.94 |
| StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? · No | 0.995 | 0.993 | $1.7k | −$4.22 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.600 | $336.00 | +$39.20 |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.315 | $2.95 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.61at 0.780Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.52at 0.991Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.11at 0.900Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.74at 0.989StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?
- +$0.13at 0.887Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:49 | Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 18:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $42.40 |
| 09-18 18:46 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $254.40 |
| 09-01 19:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $0.24 |
| 09-01 19:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.987 | $0.33 |
| 08-04 09:31 | Over $1.2B crypto hack value in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 07-11 09:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $3.3k |
| 07-10 11:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $424.84 |
| 07-05 12:40 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $2.9k |
| 07-03 11:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $2.2k |
| 07-03 11:25 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.995 | $2.4k |
| 07-03 11:24 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.994 | $180.24 |
| 07-02 19:44 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $2.0k |
| 07-02 19:43 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $220.85 |
| 07-02 19:42 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.985 | $334.90 |