0x0fB0d2b890FD50BE7Ff04f87fa2d659B226bDe98-1772278572952
0x0fb0d2b890fd50be7ff04f87fa2d659b226bde98
- Realised P&L
- $-298.14
- Volume
- $66.1k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $6.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $6.36 | −$29.40 |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$386.91at 0.389Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$199.43at 0.331Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
- +$116.16at 0.436Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
- +$89.99at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$38.28at 0.385Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 20:20 | Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 South Africa? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 19:39 | Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.08 | $15.00 |
| 04-24 22:56 | Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0086307495 | $40.60 |
| 03-28 23:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.1766021273 | $36.61 |
| 03-28 19:09 | Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.0022932213 | $41.58 |
| 03-27 13:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999804 | $7.84 |
| 03-27 13:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $14.57 |
| 03-27 12:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $23.18 |
| 03-27 12:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $3.96 |
| 03-27 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 03-27 12:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $4.00 |
| 03-27 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $9.86 |
| 03-27 11:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999552 | $3.92 |
| 03-27 10:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $3.89 |
| 03-27 10:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.94 |