Rok1ng
0x0faca31e0d4d95de0e27ebe8dc5f2fa2467e1c90
- Realised P&L
- $-156.50
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $2.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Melania" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · Yes | 0.000 | 0.995 | $2.07 | +$2.07 |
| Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28? · No | 0.460 | 0.345 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? · No | 0.000 | 0.006 | $0.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.71at 0.185Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on March 8?
- +$6.77at 0.268Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 9?
- +$5.61at 0.303Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 7?
- +$4.26at 0.039Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on March 5?
- +$3.78at 0.260Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 22:39 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-24 22:29 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.53 |
| 09-24 22:28 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 22:08 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.7199999808 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 22:08 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" during his evening remarks with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 20:52 | Will "Blue" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 28? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:21 | Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | SELL | 0.4 | $0.53 |
| 09-24 06:04 | Will Netanyahu say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 06:04 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:25 | Will Netanyahu say "Yemen" or "Houthis" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:25 | Will Netanyahu say "Trump" 3+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 05:24 | Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0810810767 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0845070375 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:36 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |