PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arrrnay

0x0fa9ba2fd8585033b93367bd1032f74d3efa22eb

Realised P&L
$-118.58
Volume
$142.4k
Markets traded
761
Open portfolio
$98.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded761
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:26Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference?BUY0.53$14.31
09-15 23:24Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?SELL0.57$28.50
09-15 23:21Will Warsh say "Pressure" during September Press Conference?BUY0.32$2.19
09-15 23:20Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.25$21.00
09-15 23:19Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.24$4.00
09-15 23:18Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.87$27.84
09-15 23:18Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.89$29.37
09-15 23:17Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?BUY0.19$25.08
09-14 20:07US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?SELL0.971$27.19
09-11 23:48Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference?BUY0.58$6.96
09-11 23:16Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.78$18.71
09-11 13:10Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.22$9.68
09-11 13:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$81.77
09-09 18:16Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.34$15.76
09-08 17:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.44$22.51