papighg
0x0fa36216558502c97ea42348566b8ec8e5c527a0
- Realised P&L
- $-139.57
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $62.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.325 | $24.37 | +$3.37 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes | 0.139 | 0.149 | $23.70 | +$1.68 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $14.25 | −$0.75 |
| UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) · Reinier de Ridder | 0.322 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.96 |
| Will Nassourdine Imavov fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.18 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.00at 0.290UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$37.95at 0.670Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?
- +$29.00at 0.420Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?
- +$-199.06at 0.395Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 21:47 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.01 |
| 03-10 07:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | BUY | 0.39 | $46.80 |
| 03-07 23:40 | UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.33 | $3.96 |
| 03-07 00:49 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | BUY | 0.41 | $41.00 |
| 02-14 17:03 | UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |