PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

papighg

0x0fa36216558502c97ea42348566b8ec8e5c527a0

Realised P&L
$-139.57
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$62.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.325$24.37+$3.37
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? · Yes0.1390.149$23.70+$1.68
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.3000.285$14.25$0.75
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card) · Reinier de Ridder0.3220.000$0.00$19.96
Will Nassourdine Imavov fight Sean Strickland next? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00$15.18
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$40.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-10 21:47Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?SELL0.002$1.01
03-10 07:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?BUY0.39$46.80
03-07 23:40UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.33$3.96
03-07 00:49Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?BUY0.41$41.00
02-14 17:03UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.29$29.00