Yarlet
0x0f9e5019b9c3c0ae16d122b81e1177f3eb78c442
- Realised P&L
- $-4.68
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $200.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.866 | $105.36 | +$4.29 |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.535 | $56.90 | +$2.66 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.305 | $33.01 | −$0.54 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.040 | $4.30 | −$6.45 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.090 | $1.15 | +$0.21 |
| Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.98at 0.696Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$1.54at 0.582Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.142Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.09at 0.019Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-0.15at 0.031Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:13 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999984 | $33.55 |
| 09-11 21:52 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5099999961 | $54.24 |
| 09-11 21:51 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.71 | $68.87 |
| 09-10 07:59 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.77 |
| 09-10 07:58 | Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.83 | $30.71 |
| 09-08 17:27 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.00 |
| 09-08 17:25 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.019 | $1.37 |
| 09-08 17:23 | Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.02 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.02 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.03 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $0.39 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.101 | $0.09 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.09 |
| 09-08 17:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.83 | $0.56 |