PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Yarlet

0x0f9e5019b9c3c0ae16d122b81e1177f3eb78c442

Realised P&L
$-4.68
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$200.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)15.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No0.8300.866$105.36+$4.29
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5100.535$56.90+$2.66
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · Yes0.3100.305$33.01$0.54
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1000.040$4.30$6.45
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0740.090$1.15+$0.21
Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$1.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 06:13Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?BUY0.3099999984$33.55
09-11 21:52Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5099999961$54.24
09-11 21:51Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.71$68.87
09-10 07:59Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.018$0.77
09-10 07:58Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.83$30.71
09-08 17:27Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.019$0.00
09-08 17:25Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.019$1.37
09-08 17:23Will “The Traitors” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series?SELL0.04$0.04
09-08 17:22Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?SELL0.04$0.02
09-08 17:22Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.034$0.02
09-08 17:22Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.04$0.03
09-08 17:22Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?SELL0.79$0.39
09-08 17:22Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?SELL0.101$0.09
09-08 17:22Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.15$0.09
09-08 17:21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.83$0.56