Yarlet
0x0f9e5019b9c3c0ae16d122b81e1177f3eb78c442
- Realised P&L
- $10.23
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $190.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.855 | $104.08 | +$3.01 |
| Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? · Yes | 0.483 | 0.445 | $57.36 | −$4.90 |
| Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.290 | $17.40 | −$1.20 |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · No | 0.119 | 0.027 | $4.10 | −$14.01 |
| Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $4.00 | −$0.16 |
| Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.267 | $3.61 | +$2.66 |
| Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.265 | $0.38 | −$0.18 |
| Will Hamish Linklater – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.34 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.01at 0.104Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
- +$5.05at 0.696Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$1.54at 0.582Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
- +$0.93at 0.142Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-0.09at 0.019Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 01:06 | Will Manchester City finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.4830177297 | $62.26 |
| 10-26 21:20 | Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.40 |
| 10-25 18:44 | Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.57 |
| 10-25 15:42 | Will Lamine Yamal record the most assists in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.31 | $18.60 |
| 10-25 15:22 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.53 | $30.21 |
| 10-25 15:18 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.52 | $12.48 |
| 10-25 14:47 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.13 | $4.16 |
| 10-25 14:26 | Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.09 |
| 10-25 14:25 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 10-24 04:00 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.5183333333 | $9.33 |
| 10-22 15:42 | Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.00 |
| 10-22 15:42 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.32 |
| 10-22 15:39 | Will Nathan MacKinnon win the 2026-27 Ted Lindsay Award? | SELL | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 10-22 15:39 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.58 | $8.12 |
| 10-21 17:30 | Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3925912206 | $52.99 |