Dorianghs
0x0f9be1309d4433846ceff523e0cece12b0ab310c
- Realised P&L
- $640.06
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $6.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar14.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.993 | 0.978 | $6.09 | −$0.09 |
| Cavaliers vs. Magic · Cavaliers | 0.599 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$648.00at 0.280Heat vs. Hornets
- +$3.75at 0.749Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$2.61at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$0.03at 0.996Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 9-15?
- +$0.03at 0.996Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 08:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9929999994 | $6.18 |
| 07-31 09:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.25 |
| 07-18 09:04 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $6.34 |
| 06-12 09:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.16 |
| 05-27 06:53 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.10 |
| 04-23 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.45 |
| 04-13 08:20 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.21 |
| 03-30 05:37 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.27 |
| 03-17 02:35 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.62 |
| 03-13 07:48 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $196.84 |
| 03-13 05:22 | Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $197.04 |
| 03-13 05:21 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.995 | $169.35 |
| 03-13 03:21 | Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.996 | $169.52 |
| 03-13 03:19 | Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.995 | $192.95 |
| 03-13 01:19 | Will Brian Harman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.996 | $193.15 |