9f8a
0x0f9ba3b2f325ebf9709985deac90502e9788f00e
- Realised P&L
- $7.94
- Volume
- $120.2k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $25.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.001 | $19.61 | −$333.30 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.38 | +$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.34 | +$0.00 |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.29 | +$0.00 |
| Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.12 | +$0.00 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.07at 0.690LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- +$4.27at 0.961Will Biden pardon SBF?
- +$1.69at 0.597Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$0.26at 0.989Will someone else be inaugurated?
- +$0.05at 0.993Will the price of XRP be greater than $3.20 on October 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 05:16 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.34 |
| 09-10 05:14 | Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.12 |
| 09-10 05:14 | Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.29 |
| 09-10 05:12 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? | BUY | 0.9959990717 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:12 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.38 |
| 07-13 19:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 07-13 19:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.13 |
| 07-13 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.11 |
| 07-13 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9949998924 | $1.11 |
| 07-13 19:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.998999199 | $1.11 |
| 04-30 10:13 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.40 |
| 04-30 10:11 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on April 30? | BUY | 0.9969990269 | $1.00 |
| 04-30 10:10 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 41°F or below on April 30? | BUY | 0.9989994854 | $1.32 |
| 02-26 16:59 | Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $352.91 |
| 02-26 16:56 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.09 |