0x0f8735F0a24c66D828Fe0dA406Fc123788F1E046-1772325643855
0x0f8735f0a24c66d828fe0da406fc123788f1e046
- Realised P&L
- $-305.57
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $16.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.520 | 0.525 | $3.41 | +$0.03 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies · Seattle Mariners | 0.600 | 0.595 | $3.37 | −$0.03 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.400 | 0.395 | $3.37 | −$0.04 |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels · Minnesota Twins | 0.520 | 0.515 | $3.35 | −$0.03 |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Kansas City Royals | 0.500 | 0.485 | $3.30 | −$0.10 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.48 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals · Detroit Tigers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.07 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins · Chicago White Sox | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.06 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.01 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.548 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.03 |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners · Chicago Cubs | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.47at 0.546Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$34.52at 0.481Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
- +$33.74at 0.489Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- +$31.78at 0.484Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
- +$27.52at 0.550Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:11 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.52 | $3.38 |
| 09-20 14:07 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.52 | $3.39 |
| 09-20 13:33 | Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5 | $3.40 |
| 09-20 13:11 | Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $3.40 |
| 09-20 11:10 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.4 | $3.41 |
| 09-20 01:32 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.48 | $3.59 |
| 09-19 14:10 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.47 | $3.60 |
| 09-19 14:06 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.51 | $3.61 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.58 | $4.02 |
| 09-18 20:14 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.48 | $4.03 |
| 09-18 19:41 | New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5 | $4.03 |
| 09-18 19:38 | Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.51 | $4.04 |
| 09-18 18:15 | Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.5 | $4.05 |
| 09-18 18:10 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.48 | $4.06 |
| 09-18 18:05 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.45 | $4.06 |