0x0f86d531cc7c38962ced447caff442eb46e95c4e
- Realised P&L
- $-125.25
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $43.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.046 | $38.75 | +$18.75 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.087 | $3.74 | −$1.26 |
| Will Manel Kape fight Joshua Van next? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.375 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.026 | $0.54 | −$4.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.95at 0.148Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$200.54at 0.130Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?
- +$81.77at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.88at 0.392O/U 1.5 Rounds
- +$19.41at 0.340UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 18:28 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1169999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 18:25 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.02399958 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 18:24 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.633 | $8.39 |
| 07-20 11:20 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3769999664 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 12:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999825 | $8.00 |
| 06-28 05:39 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999812 | $7.69 |
| 06-28 05:39 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.222999993 | $20.00 |
| 06-27 00:05 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.3699999887 | $20.00 |
| 06-27 00:05 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 00:04 | Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Spread: United States (-2.5) | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 06-25 22:10 | Spread: United States (-3.5) | BUY | 0.0664417948 | $5.00 |
| 06-25 22:09 | Türkiye vs. United States: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.2299999893 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 22:05 | Japan vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 06-25 22:04 | Spread: Japan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |