chchchchchch
0x0f854c699db0c17a422e56f178b84680621887d5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $625.8k
- Markets traded
- 5,099
- Open portfolio
- $22.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,099
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 1.000 | $12.73 | +$5.73 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR? · No | 0.709 | 1.000 | $5.64 | +$1.64 |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.070 | $3.62 | −$6.38 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.040 | $0.86 | −$4.14 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Another Elon baby by June 30? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0.447 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.194Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$1.2kat 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$1.1kat 0.527Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
- +$992.58at 0.469Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
- +$915.87at 0.617Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.1588961072 | $27.09 |
| 04-27 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3085251079 | $90.04 |
| 04-27 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $2.59 |
| 04-27 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $46.40 |
| 04-27 17:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $96.26 |
| 04-27 17:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2935213943 | $89.83 |
| 04-27 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $92.80 |
| 04-27 17:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2533202382 | $89.20 |
| 04-27 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $57.77 |
| 04-27 03:49 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.4599999614 | $3.23 |
| 04-27 03:48 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $9.69 |
| 04-27 03:48 | Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $9.87 |
| 04-27 03:47 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.529999913 | $1.90 |
| 04-27 03:47 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5299999728 | $7.58 |
| 04-27 03:47 | Oilers vs. Ducks | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $9.72 |