DennisC
0x0f831d8792df428d614b59700b31fbeeb14c5acd
- Realised P&L
- $-27.32
- Volume
- $759.30
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $144.24
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.855 | $144.24 | −$10.97 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Rutte say "nuclear" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? · Yes | 0.742 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$90.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.44at 0.630Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?
- +$28.21at 0.780U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:36 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999998 | $155.21 |
| 07-18 09:28 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.973 | $154.44 |
| 06-20 12:59 | US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July? | BUY | 0.3799999823 | $9.00 |
| 06-20 12:58 | Will Rutte say "nuclear" during NATO Public Forum Address on June 24? | BUY | 0.7423292643 | $90.00 |
| 06-20 12:56 | U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $100.00 |
| 06-20 12:54 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $100.00 |