PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tko55688

0x0f7a66e2a445431787deeb24ee4483b80fccd37e

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$214.6k
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$6.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.0560.031$6.54$5.37
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · No0.0380.000$0.00$19.76
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$13.83
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 22? · Up0.1940.000$0.00$23.31
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? · No0.1700.000$0.00$42.50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.14
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.46
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? · Yes0.2820.000$0.00$36.65
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$72.63
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00$24.09
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.50
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2280.000$0.00$35.96
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · No0.1130.000$0.00$247.59
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$24.79
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? · No0.0150.000$0.00$27.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-19 16:22Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.695$347.50
04-29 13:58Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.5$50.00
04-29 13:57Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.502$134.54
04-29 13:57Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.502$200.80
04-29 13:55Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?SELL0.04204$37.84
04-12 15:07Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.021418675$17.13
04-12 15:06Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.06$18.00
04-06 19:10Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?BUY0.00998125$7.99
04-06 19:09Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.06$18.00
04-05 02:23Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5BUY0.3391923922$20.17
03-29 19:01Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?BUY0.06$24.00
02-18 06:58Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.005$5.00
02-18 06:57Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.0217338254$13.69
02-16 05:47Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.05$10.00
02-16 05:46Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.05$10.00