Happyadi
0x0f6f74a2dce3d9804c0eddee9d2706062275d78b
- Realised P&L
- $-998.69
- Volume
- $138.3k
- Markets traded
- 2,376
- Open portfolio
- $224.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,376
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.835 | $152.74 | +$2.74 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.799 | 0.798 | $24.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.655 | $23.39 | −$1.61 |
| Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.865 | $23.26 | +$0.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.93at 0.050Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$60.35at 0.153Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
- +$58.54at 0.695Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$27.72at 0.959Will Solstice launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$24.60at 0.868Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 13:44 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6999999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 15:06 | Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999955 | $23.13 |
| 10-06 14:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7989999971 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 14:45 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8199999992 | $150.00 |
| 09-07 09:20 | Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $5.17 |
| 09-07 09:20 | Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $9.88 |
| 09-07 09:20 | Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.91 | $16.71 |
| 09-07 09:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.86 | $19.75 |
| 09-07 09:19 | Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $23.59 |
| 09-07 09:19 | Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.77 | $24.68 |
| 09-07 09:19 | Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.809862226 | $142.25 |
| 09-07 03:51 | Ethos FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7799999944 | $25.00 |
| 09-04 16:25 | Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.9199999994 | $65.06 |
| 09-04 16:03 | Over $7.5M committed to the Ethos public sale? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.12 |
| 09-04 14:28 | Over $10M committed to the Ethos public sale? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.00 |