altka12
0x0f66a01af99b5ff0d231bf04a827fbe8635fcd5e
- Realised P&L
- $-436.41
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $99.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $79.80 | −$125.40 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $10.01 | −$150.09 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $9.63 | −$48.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.59at 0.225Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET
- +$39.60at 0.244Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$26.00at 0.370Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 12PM ET
- +$26.00at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 5AM ET
- +$9.65at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 12:32 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.88 |
| 10-18 11:07 | Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $72.26 |
| 10-17 18:57 | Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.29 | $116.00 |
| 10-17 18:54 | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $54.66 |
| 10-17 18:31 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.907 | $544.20 |
| 10-17 18:30 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BUY | 0.906 | $70.29 |
| 10-14 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.244 | $24.40 |
| 10-14 08:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $80.00 |