0x0f61b0a1979092f7170b6c48e7e4f54dfff78687
0x0f61b0a1979092f7170b6c48e7e4f54dfff78687
- Realised P&L
- $-7.9k
- Volume
- $233.2k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? · Yes | 0.269 | 1.000 | $1.9k | +$1.4k |
| Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.001 | $0.81 | −$499.19 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.0k |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Portugal? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Portugal? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.021Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?
- +$1.1kat 0.409Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$1.0kat 0.093Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?
- +$992.39at 0.095Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Portugal?
- +$723.40at 0.126Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 17:07 | Will Moldova vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2687208885 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 17:05 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.6130477208 | $809.20 |
| 09-29 15:58 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3787954303 | $500.00 |
| 09-29 15:58 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.31 | $500.00 |
| 09-28 20:42 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.0k |
| 09-28 18:47 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $450.00 |
| 09-28 18:47 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4242176305 | $450.00 |
| 09-28 18:45 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3356100858 | $500.00 |
| 09-27 20:45 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Portugal? | SELL | 0.993004176 | $1.1k |
| 09-27 18:23 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Portugal? | BUY | 0.0435899438 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:21 | Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 Portugal? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:16 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Portugal? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:16 | Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Portugal? | BUY | 0.052 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:15 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 Portugal? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 09-27 18:14 | Exact Score: Norway 2 - 0 Portugal? | BUY | 0.06 | $100.00 |