NPC26
0x0f5f67e59c340b97b5add143bab877f6adfc4a8c
- Realised P&L
- $161.60
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $259.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.013 | $237.24 | +$37.26 |
| Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.090 | $22.50 | +$2.50 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.80 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.88at 0.120US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$90.92at 0.110US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$75.79at 0.070US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:48 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 09-13 19:38 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0105378829 | $200.00 |
| 03-10 19:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.2290008649 | $25.00 |
| 03-10 19:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.1299999951 | $20.00 |
| 03-10 19:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.0551953571 | $10.00 |
| 03-10 19:46 | Iran leadership change by April 30? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 03-10 19:46 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.242145291 | $50.00 |
| 03-09 11:29 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | BUY | 0.4398441185 | $200.00 |
| 02-27 11:12 | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $11.38 |
| 02-27 11:10 | US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $39.00 |
| 02-27 11:09 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $20.00 |
| 02-27 11:09 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.0757381163 | $10.26 |
| 02-27 11:09 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $10.07 |
| 02-27 09:50 | US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999956 | $20.00 |
| 02-27 09:50 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |