PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

NPC26

0x0f5f67e59c340b97b5add143bab877f6adfc4a8c

Realised P&L
$161.60
Volume
$22.1k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$259.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0110.013$237.24+$37.26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0800.090$22.50+$2.50
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$5.80
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.2290.000$0.00$25.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00$200.00
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$20.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00$10.00
Iran leadership change by April 30? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$35.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 20:48Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$20.00
09-13 19:38Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0105378829$200.00
03-10 19:52Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.2290008649$25.00
03-10 19:52Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
03-10 19:52Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.0551953571$10.00
03-10 19:46Iran leadership change by April 30?BUY0.35$35.00
03-10 19:46Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.242145291$50.00
03-09 11:29Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?BUY0.4398441185$200.00
02-27 11:12US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?SELL0.25$11.38
02-27 11:10US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?SELL0.26$39.00
02-27 11:09US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?SELL0.22$20.00
02-27 11:09US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?SELL0.0757381163$10.26
02-27 11:09US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?SELL0.15$10.07
02-27 09:50US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?BUY0.1099999956$20.00
02-27 09:50US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.0699999939$10.00