0x0f5f5ee864790f1cf18643b4737a8a00bf1693c1
- Realised P&L
- $1.19
- Volume
- $45.64
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $11.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? · No | 0.300 | 0.999 | $5.06 | +$3.54 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.715 | $2.22 | +$0.70 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.830 | $1.75 | +$0.23 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.595 | $1.37 | −$0.15 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.130 | $0.90 | −$0.62 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.650 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.669Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.75at 0.670US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.63at 0.708Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.44at 0.777Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$0.42at 0.787Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:07 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199996968 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 15:07 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999971 | $1.52 |
| 09-14 07:05 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.489999971 | $1.52 |
| 09-13 23:04 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999392 | $1.52 |
| 09-11 06:22 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999822 | $1.52 |
| 09-10 08:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6699999163 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 22:55 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999899 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 22:54 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6599999392 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 12:54 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6999999079 | $1.52 |
| 09-09 01:48 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999795 | $1.52 |
| 09-08 05:13 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $197.50 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999558 | $1.52 |
| 09-03 23:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.52 |
| 09-03 12:01 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 3? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.52 |
| 09-02 16:24 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15? | BUY | 0.2999999013 | $1.52 |
| 09-02 05:52 | Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.52 |