Apeir0n
0x0f50bfd7ff884880f124c6c40275c34d21bf069b
- Realised P&L
- $-176.66
- Volume
- $36.2k
- Markets traded
- 435
- Open portfolio
- $57.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded435
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruins vs. Flyers · Bruins | 0.520 | 0.430 | $43.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $8.50 | −$4.50 |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.097 | 0.058 | $5.80 | −$3.90 |
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) · Washington Nationals | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) · Cleveland Guardians | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.591 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.60 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) · Cleveland Guardians | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.60 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.617 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.00 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Spread: Avalanche (-1.5) · Avalanche | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Wild vs. Blackhawks · Wild | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$176.95at 0.567Will Morocco be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
- +$118.28at 0.462Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$113.82at 0.632Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$101.50at 0.492Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
- +$99.50at 0.243Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:36 | Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $27.60 |
| 09-23 20:34 | Miami Marlins vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $43.20 |
| 09-23 20:33 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 09-23 14:58 | Bruins vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.52 | $20.19 |
| 09-22 17:45 | Golden Knights vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.39 | $27.30 |
| 09-22 17:45 | Oilers vs. Jets | BUY | 0.52 | $36.40 |
| 09-22 17:33 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $47.00 |
| 09-22 17:04 | Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.45 | $31.50 |
| 09-22 00:42 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.7 | $49.00 |
| 09-21 20:28 | Avalanche vs. Jets | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 09-21 20:27 | Spread: LA (-9.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 09-21 20:23 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $43.40 |
| 09-21 20:22 | Sabres vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.42 | $21.00 |
| 09-21 20:21 | Wild vs. Blackhawks | BUY | 0.33 | $19.80 |
| 09-21 20:20 | Avalanche vs. Jets | BUY | 0.32 | $24.00 |