tur
0x0f4f3502ad71507df6d087137f7ef6f036693bb6
- Realised P&L
- $8.38
- Volume
- $36.0k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $35.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.921 | 0.917 | $35.76 | −$0.16 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,800 in November? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.25at 0.641Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$0.75at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.71at 0.979Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6?
- +$0.51at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 4?
- +$0.46at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 12:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.921 | $35.92 |
| 09-18 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.986 | $34.51 |
| 09-17 15:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |
| 09-14 02:41 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.991 | $34.69 |
| 09-14 01:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-13 07:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.976 | $34.16 |
| 09-09 15:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.988 | $33.59 |
| 09-07 14:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.64 |
| 09-06 14:25 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.977 | $32.24 |
| 09-05 14:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 5? | BUY | 0.995 | $31.84 |
| 09-04 14:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 4? | BUY | 0.986 | $31.55 |
| 08-27 03:52 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on August 27? | BUY | 0.993 | $31.78 |
| 08-26 13:03 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on August 26? | BUY | 0.992 | $30.75 |
| 08-25 08:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on August 25? | BUY | 0.987 | $30.60 |
| 08-25 03:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.991 | $30.72 |