0x0f4dc2fb8eccb421e3f721408f85fc77cc4fd375-1792080264629
0x0f4dc2fb8eccb421e3f721408f85fc77cc4fd375
- Realised P&L
- $291.12
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $20.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar19.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.90at 0.350Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$55.88at 0.153Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?
- +$16.73at 0.216Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?
- +$5.28at 0.658Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:20 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.5499999971 | $9.52 |
| 10-20 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.3429691223 | $8.00 |
| 10-20 11:19 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.0582963841 | $3.93 |
| 10-20 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.8943380282 | $22.22 |
| 10-19 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.2079885046 | $5.17 |
| 10-19 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.57 |
| 10-19 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.0138522274 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.10 |
| 10-19 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.13 | $3.90 |
| 10-19 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.0882191728 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.243902439 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 11:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.59 |
| 10-18 11:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.45 |