frostydog1
0x0f449cb85238d1acbb49746ef8a1bb8a9a8ebc79
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $201.4k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $279.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) · Jaguars | 0.530 | 1.000 | $54.21 | +$25.48 |
| Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) · Buccaneers | 0.490 | 1.000 | $47.98 | +$24.47 |
| Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) · Broncos | 0.540 | 0.555 | $37.60 | +$1.02 |
| Spread: Patriots (-6.5) · Patriots | 0.530 | 0.600 | $35.49 | +$4.14 |
| Spread: Lions (-3.5) · Lions | 0.480 | 1.000 | $32.65 | +$16.98 |
| Spread: Commanders (-5.5) · Commanders | 0.530 | 0.515 | $29.15 | −$0.85 |
| Spread: Steelers (-3.5) · Steelers | 0.510 | 1.000 | $25.61 | +$12.55 |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) · Packers | 0.510 | 1.000 | $15.35 | +$7.52 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) · Cowboys | 0.570 | 0.016 | $0.74 | −$25.48 |
| Spread: Bengals (-10.5) · Bengals | 0.590 | 0.013 | $0.42 | −$17.87 |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) · Ravens | 0.540 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$10.44 |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight, Main Card) · Joaquin Buckley | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| UFC Fight Night: Borislav Nikolic vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) · Mark Vologdin | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.01 |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.142Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase November 18-24?
- +$552.90at 0.260UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$431.55at 0.222UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- +$328.71at 0.159Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?
- +$281.60at 0.295Chiefs vs. Cowboys
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:25 | Spread: Commanders (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5299999961 | $30.00 |
| 11-01 18:24 | Spread: Patriots (-6.5) | BUY | 0.5299999946 | $31.35 |
| 11-01 18:22 | Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5399999979 | $36.58 |
| 11-01 17:59 | Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5299999919 | $28.73 |
| 11-01 17:58 | Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4899999983 | $23.51 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999828 | $13.06 |
| 11-01 17:57 | Spread: Jets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999915 | $20.89 |
| 11-01 17:33 | Spread: Lions (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4799999902 | $15.67 |
| 11-01 17:31 | Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $26.22 |
| 11-01 17:30 | Spread: Bengals (-10.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $18.29 |
| 11-01 17:29 | Spread: Bills (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5399999959 | $10.45 |
| 10-29 00:12 | Spread: Packers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999726 | $7.83 |
| 10-26 20:31 | Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 10-25 01:57 | Spread: Steelers (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5499999894 | $18.14 |
| 10-20 03:27 | Spread: 49ers (-7.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $5.08 |