0x0f42fa0120ca51a0438366de3c93ae64eacade23
0x0f42fa0120ca51a0438366de3c93ae64eacade23
- Realised P&L
- $1.38
- Volume
- $98.65
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $42.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.971 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? · No | 0.960 | 0.968 | $5.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.965 | $5.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? · No | 0.959 | 0.961 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29? · Yes | 0.993 | 0.995 | $5.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 29? · Yes | 0.984 | 0.956 | $4.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28? · No | 0.960 | 0.860 | $4.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 29? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.765 | $3.98 | −$1.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29? · No | 0.950 | 0.740 | $3.89 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.20at 0.963Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27?
- +$0.20at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET
- +$0.20at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 27?
- +$0.20at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?
- +$0.19at 0.965Will Solana reach $130 on September 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 06:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29? | BUY | 0.9929999462 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 06:15 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on September 29? | BUY | 0.984 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 06:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 05:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.9589999992 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 05:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 05:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 04:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 12AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 29? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 16:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 29? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27? | BUY | 0.949999981 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 11:01 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on September 27? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 10:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9879999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 10:16 | Will Solana reach $130 on September 27? | BUY | 0.951999997 | $5.00 |