Gavinfb
0x0f412a6ed56a87ec3210178f6f35694d73b7ba79
- Realised P&L
- $29.68
- Volume
- $4.6k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $27.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $27.82 | −$0.26 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$134.46at 0.500Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$134.46at 0.500Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$134.19at 0.500Will Cagliari win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
- +$134.19at 0.500Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$20.92at 0.500Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:57 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.54 | $28.08 |
| 08-24 06:51 | Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs | BUY | 0.79 | $19.75 |
| 08-14 07:54 | Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.77 | $30.80 |
| 08-04 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.78 | $26.52 |
| 07-14 08:42 | France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $24.37 |
| 07-09 08:48 | Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $29.64 |
| 06-23 08:17 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.29 | $17.81 |
| 06-03 06:46 | Will the price of XRP be above $0.80 on June 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 06-03 06:45 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $31.96 |
| 06-03 06:45 | LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - LFL Playoffs | BUY | 0.69 | $24.45 |
| 06-03 06:44 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $32.00 |
| 04-30 02:42 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $25.97 |
| 04-30 02:41 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9929999998 | $26.00 |
| 04-07 11:36 | Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $30.96 |
| 04-07 11:36 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on April 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |