frostwind314
0x0f3cf1de34f7f42239ee65009a8cfd105588804e
- Realised P&L
- $-50.74
- Volume
- $360.54
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $1.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $1.05 | −$0.30 |
| Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $0.70 | −$0.55 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.717 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.74 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 17:00 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7171731449 | $50.74 |
| 09-22 16:58 | Will there be between 20 and 25 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.0089284692 | $1.25 |
| 09-22 16:56 | Will there be between 15 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.35 |