0x0f3b395bcd766be28ff6c2fa669e955d45c60792
0x0f3b395bcd766be28ff6c2fa669e955d45c60792
- Realised P&L
- $17.22
- Volume
- $293.32
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $29.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State vs. Houston · Oklahoma State | 0.500 | 0.365 | $29.50 | −$10.91 |
| Rovereto: Bianca Andreescu vs Lucrezia Stefanini · Lucrezia Stefanini | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
| Spread: Tulane (-3.5) · Memphis | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.71 |
| Spread: Appalachian State (-13.5) · Appalachian State | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.76 |
| Ningbo Open, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar · Anna Bondar | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.53at 0.500Santa Cruz 2: Francisco Comesana vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
- +$21.16at 0.500Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi
- +$18.64at 0.500Washington vs. Purdue: O/U 49.5
- +$16.95at 0.500Catania: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller
- +$15.26at 0.500Raptors vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 02:27 | Memphis vs. Tulane | SELL | 0.09 | $3.68 |
| 10-17 01:59 | Spread: Tulane (-3.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $12.71 |
| 10-17 01:50 | Raptors vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.9722345679 | $31.50 |
| 10-17 01:45 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | SELL | 0.49 | $28.60 |
| 10-16 20:10 | W50 Quebec City: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Sara Saito | SELL | 0.08 | $2.04 |
| 10-16 16:54 | Olbia: Michael Mmoh vs Luca Nardi | SELL | 0.999 | $42.37 |