Sefir1111
0x0f398453aa66ffc69560885621ccb06e0f30d0e7
- Realised P&L
- $310.37
- Volume
- $101.1k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $84.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.110 | $46.47 | −$33.53 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.004 | $12.23 | −$209.06 |
| Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.024 | $8.71 | +$3.71 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $7.14 | −$12.85 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? · Yes | 0.041 | 0.028 | $6.73 | −$3.27 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $3.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.50at 0.190Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$91.02at 0.604Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$70.69at 0.444Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$56.92at 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$45.88at 0.120Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 16:34 | Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.040884263 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 16:33 | Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0134933305 | $5.00 |
| 10-25 16:32 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 21:13 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1893845002 | $80.00 |
| 08-19 19:39 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-19 19:38 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 19:36 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | SELL | 0.48 | $1.67 |
| 08-19 19:32 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 07-07 17:45 | Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 19:14 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 12:51 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $161.98 |
| 06-14 21:17 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0495226266 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 08:19 | Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.3099999907 | $15.00 |
| 05-30 17:23 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.054999998 | $25.00 |
| 05-30 17:21 | Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0038401265 | $9.51 |