0x0f34df429a3c1f9270c0437411ae14c62406bf5b
0x0f34df429a3c1f9270c0437411ae14c62406bf5b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $234.3k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $5.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.004 | $3.64 | −$96.36 |
| Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.001 | $1.33 | −$98.67 |
| Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.001 | $0.96 | −$299.04 |
| Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will San Marino win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-03? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.5kat 0.173Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$1.2kat 0.465Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$829.84at 0.781Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$775.69at 0.289Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$701.48at 0.129Will Wales win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:29 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 19:26 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1442152124 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 19:19 | Will Switzerland vs. Slovenia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 19:19 | Will Spain vs. Czechia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0375409413 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 19:19 | Will North Macedonia vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:33 | Will San Marino win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0529098616 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:32 | Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:32 | Will Luxembourg win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 16:26 | Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.050643345 | $105.51 |
| 10-03 15:50 | Will Croatia vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-03 14:48 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.93 | $516.66 |
| 10-03 14:48 | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? | SELL | 0.0716640233 | $27.56 |
| 10-03 14:48 | Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.004 | $4.44 |
| 10-03 13:32 | Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.0899999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-03 13:15 | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |