rabbit771
0x0f1d512e73b3e6219bf1bf855250c44bb61ffc63
- Realised P&L
- $-27.90
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.22at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$0.51at 0.797Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
- +$0.39at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$0.26at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$0.25at 0.802Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.035 | $3.43 |
| 08-28 13:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 18:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | BUY | 0.1329999022 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 18:01 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 06-17 17:59 | Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference? | BUY | 0.74 | $2.00 |
| 05-23 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 05-23 15:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 22:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | SELL | 0.64 | $1.33 |
| 05-22 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.89 | $2.28 |
| 05-22 22:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | SELL | 0.94 | $1.42 |
| 05-22 22:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |