0x0F196F6dc82B32Fb0ecEDF103629B988CFd28Bc3-1770484185066
0x0f196f6dc82b32fb0ecedf103629b988cfd28bc3
- Realised P&L
- $151.70
- Volume
- $22.6k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $208.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $300 in October? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $149.63 | +$1.13 |
| Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.998 | 0.993 | $34.74 | −$0.19 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? · No | 0.988 | 0.768 | $24.03 | −$6.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.19at 0.975Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$17.58at 0.986Trump out as President by March 31?
- +$17.00at 0.905Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
- +$6.30at 0.937GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
- +$4.01at 0.985Trump out as President by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 23:31 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.47 |
| 10-04 23:30 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.47 |
| 10-04 23:30 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-04 23:26 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.88 |
| 10-03 06:54 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? | BUY | 0.9884006449 | $30.90 |
| 10-01 14:35 | Will BNB dip to $300 in October? | BUY | 0.99 | $148.50 |
| 10-01 14:17 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-01 14:16 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.47 |
| 10-01 14:16 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $32.44 |
| 09-28 00:53 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $69.86 |
| 09-28 00:51 | Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in September? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-19 14:52 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $71.86 |
| 09-19 14:52 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.997 | $8.12 |
| 09-19 14:51 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 21 above $10? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-12 23:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $29.94 |