fruggo
0x0f16a66df16a707334d89704631338ae7a770246
- Realised P&L
- $-102.7k
- Volume
- $5.88M
- Markets traded
- 3,060
- Open portfolio
- $825.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,060
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Raoni Barcelos | 0.437 | 0.425 | $626.36 | −$17.59 |
| UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Rinya Nakamura | 0.770 | 0.765 | $198.70 | −$1.30 |
| UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) · Josiah Harrell | 0.570 | 0.001 | $0.34 | −$387.66 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Detroit Tigers · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$460.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET · Up | 0.647 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Saints vs. Ravens · Ravens | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Vikings vs. Bears · Bears | 0.652 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.3kat 0.478Lakers vs. Raptors
- +$26.6kat 0.584Lakers vs. 76ers
- +$13.0kat 0.362Knicks vs. Celtics
- +$12.4kat 0.617Warriors vs. 76ers
- +$11.0kat 0.476Clippers vs. Grizzlies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:17 | UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.4299999995 | $193.96 |
| 09-26 22:16 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $8.00 |
| 09-26 22:16 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 22:14 | UFC Fight Night: Brady Hiestand vs. Rinya Nakamura (Bantamweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 22:13 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-26 22:12 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 22:11 | UFC Fight Night: Elves Brener vs. Josiah Harrell (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.57 | $200.00 |
| 09-26 22:10 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | SELL | 0.999 | $735.83 |
| 09-26 22:07 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.8091908086 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 22:01 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.7599999964 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 21:54 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6799999991 | $120.00 |
| 09-26 21:54 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | SELL | 0.92 | $388.87 |
| 09-26 21:49 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.68 | $99.07 |
| 09-26 21:48 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | SELL | 0.9 | $101.12 |
| 09-26 21:45 | UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simon vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.68 | $108.29 |