PayDre
0x0f136db1e9a8809e8b4e340b0147177bc4982fff
- Realised P&L
- $-89.46
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.011 | $4.27 | −$38.15 |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.62at 0.383Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$45.56at 0.180Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$1.49at 0.870JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$-12.73at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 24?
- +$-14.77at 0.393Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs shimmer (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group B
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 18:47 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.2299999833 | $9.59 |
| 04-23 18:47 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.1067961119 | $18.93 |
| 04-23 18:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on April 24? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $4.66 |
| 04-23 18:43 | Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999941 | $20.93 |
| 04-23 18:41 | Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? | BUY | 0.0349999967 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 21:45 | Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | BUY | 0.1143244696 | $42.42 |
| 04-07 21:41 | JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 21:40 | Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 21:39 | Will Fabiano Caruana win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $9.60 |
| 04-07 21:38 | Will Hikaru Nakamura win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open? | BUY | 0.4709206499 | $9.68 |
| 04-07 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 8? | BUY | 0.2789999869 | $9.28 |
| 04-07 21:33 | Counter-Strike: Outfit 49 vs shimmer (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group B | BUY | 0.25 | $4.78 |
| 04-07 21:31 | Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 04-07 21:30 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.201923067 | $15.00 |
| 04-07 21:28 | Will the 2026 Masters winner be a LIV player? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $9.82 |