0x0f122e98a69ca60ff48103cf197e8436a7d27bad
0x0f122e98a69ca60ff48103cf197e8436a7d27bad
- Realised P&L
- $-54.08
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $80.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curacao win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.443 | $42.32 | +$32.32 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $15.16 | +$0.16 |
| Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.073 | 0.075 | $14.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.044 | $6.65 | −$3.35 |
| Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.255 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres · Chicago Cubs | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.85at 0.522Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$-2.01at 0.100Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
- +$-2.03at 0.103Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06?
- +$-5.44at 0.035Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29?
- +$-5.45at 0.020Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:27 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 03:22 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 20:30 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.8 | $16.32 |
| 09-30 14:40 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.48 | $15.00 |
| 09-30 13:19 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 13:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0899999928 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | SELL | 0.09 | $0.19 |
| 09-30 13:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:36 | Greece vs. Netherlands: Netherlands O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 04:34 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.53 |
| 09-30 04:33 | Wales vs. Norway: Norway O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.073 | $14.00 |
| 09-29 23:16 | Will Czechia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.0948924157 | $4.00 |
| 09-29 19:18 | Will Croatia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.032 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 15:54 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.018 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 02:23 | Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.1299999979 | $5.50 |