harlighet
0x0eff529d33ee1f954bedcdde5594741d57808897
- Realised P&L
- $-184.97
- Volume
- $196.4k
- Markets traded
- 663
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded663
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.32at 0.043Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?
- +$43.66at 0.009Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?
- +$39.10at 0.004Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 1?
- +$36.54at 0.003Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 1?
- +$35.89at 0.022Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-14 07:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-13 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 10-13 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-13 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-13 11:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-13 11:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 10-13 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-13 10:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 10-13 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-13 05:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 05-21 11:03 | Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30? | SELL | 0.8186655113 | $4.72 |
| 05-19 02:06 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | SELL | 0.942 | $3.27 |