0x0efca92bbdab9f684bb7da0548f5b14c11a7ea80
0x0efca92bbdab9f684bb7da0548f5b14c11a7ea80
- Realised P&L
- $-78.12
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $3.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.050 | $3.54 | −$6.46 |
| Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$29.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.94at 0.480England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$38.22at 0.404Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-26?
- +$22.62at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$14.79at 0.674Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$14.60at 0.574Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 14:21 | Will SK Brann win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $30.00 |
| 10-01 19:40 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 09-27 18:35 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $40.00 |
| 09-15 14:17 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 09-15 14:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $18.00 |
| 08-28 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1199999748 | $4.00 |
| 08-28 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 08-28 22:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 21:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999983 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 21:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999968 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.299999955 | $4.00 |
| 08-27 12:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |