Rootname
0x0ed89fc5624215af7207296900780bad49b66b7f
- Realised P&L
- $60.50
- Volume
- $18.2k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $121.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yes | 0.640 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$36.00 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.042 | $21.00 | −$9.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.60 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.90 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7? · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$319.50at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$21.60at 0.033Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- +$10.20at 0.017Xi Jinping out by June 30?
- +$9.00at 0.002Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.20at 0.047Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-31 13:00 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | SELL | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 03-20 09:38 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.86 |
| 03-15 20:32 | Iran leadership change by March 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $44.00 |
| 03-06 06:06 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.36 |
| 03-02 10:06 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | SELL | 0.126 | $25.20 |
| 03-01 12:08 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 10:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 02-28 22:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.034 | $34.00 |
| 02-02 20:21 | US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 02-02 12:40 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $80.00 |
| 01-28 13:07 | Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | SELL | 0.045 | $6.30 |
| 01-28 13:05 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $36.00 |
| 01-28 13:04 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-09 08:39 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 17:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7? | BUY | 0.91 | $182.00 |