PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rootname

0x0ed89fc5624215af7207296900780bad49b66b7f

Realised P&L
$60.50
Volume
$18.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$121.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · Yes0.6401.000$100.00+$36.00
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.042$21.00$9.00
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.60
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$2.00
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$9.30
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.30
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$4.90
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7? · Up0.9100.000$0.00$182.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-31 13:00Iran leadership change by March 31?SELL0.008$4.00
03-20 09:38Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.16$1.86
03-15 20:32Iran leadership change by March 31?BUY0.22$44.00
03-06 06:06Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY0.036$0.36
03-02 10:06Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.126$25.20
03-01 12:08Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.001$1.00
03-01 10:35Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.002$2.00
02-28 22:27Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.034$34.00
02-02 20:21US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?BUY0.008$1.60
02-02 12:40Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.2$80.00
01-28 13:07Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?SELL0.045$6.30
01-28 13:05Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.24$36.00
01-28 13:04Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
01-09 08:39Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.001$1.00
01-07 17:26S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 7?BUY0.91$182.00