nanjingyi
0x0ed736f247a41c3b886cc183eb8bc3033bfa43f5
- Realised P&L
- $-23.55
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $11.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $8.69 | −$0.01 |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.645 | $1.31 | −$0.11 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.979 | $1.16 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.202 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 29? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Dolphins vs. Jets · Jets | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.64at 0.788Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
- +$0.31at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150K in September?
- +$0.31at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.27at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
- +$0.27at 0.998Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 10:37 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.70 |
| 10-18 10:05 | Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6999998028 | $1.42 |
| 09-21 13:26 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $7.10 |
| 09-21 13:23 | Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | BUY | 0.7799999934 | $2.37 |
| 08-29 08:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9979999027 | $9.50 |
| 08-29 08:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.50 |
| 07-23 05:51 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 07-23 05:40 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.05 |
| 05-31 10:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999935 | $134.00 |
| 05-05 12:53 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 5? | BUY | 0.9989999935 | $134.00 |
| 05-05 12:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.70 |
| 04-26 07:31 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $83.99 |
| 04-26 07:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.99 |
| 04-21 03:34 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $137.99 |
| 04-16 02:56 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999996 | $137.93 |