71e2D
0x0ecfe6c7f8240cea43bd177946335f3a80f21e6c
- Realised P&L
- $51.47
- Volume
- $99.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $51.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.88at 0.421Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$11.79at 0.421Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$8.33at 0.627Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.37at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$5.83at 0.572Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:31 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 07:31 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 07-31 07:05 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $11.90 |
| 07-31 07:05 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.97 |
| 07-31 07:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 07-31 07:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.75 |
| 06-07 08:51 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $121.63 |
| 06-07 08:50 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $11.94 |
| 06-07 08:50 | Will Meituan have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.95 |
| 06-07 08:49 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | SELL | 0.979 | $13.21 |
| 05-15 10:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.997 | $11.96 |
| 05-15 10:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $74.78 |
| 05-15 10:25 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $74.78 |
| 04-24 10:31 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 04-24 10:30 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $12.86 |