AlphaBeta
0x0ec455520f9c07edfcada578e3c17cf49b3b6e26
- Realised P&L
- $-55.74
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.009 | $12.94 | −$26.04 |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? · No | 0.098 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.80at 0.200Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-28 13:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $44.80 |
| 02-23 21:27 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.00 |
| 02-14 11:21 | UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $12.51 |
| 01-31 22:25 | Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? | BUY | 0.0984530342 | $18.00 |
| 01-21 20:29 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? | BUY | 0.028620779 | $50.00 |
| 01-21 20:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |