PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x0EC2Bb71842ad3f1d3009fB517215b11943A6ab4-1758201093415

0x0ec2bb71842ad3f1d3009fb517215b11943a6ab4

Realised P&L
$62.64
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$0.84

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · Yes0.0700.021$0.34$0.78
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0870.028$0.28$0.59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$0.23$0.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? · No0.2250.000$0.00$2.25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.7400.000$0.00$3.70
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17? · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00$0.05
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$0.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6AM ET · Down0.0650.000$0.00$0.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 09:53Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 9?SELL0.53$5.35
09-09 09:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 9?BUY0.52$2.60
09-09 09:36Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 9?BUY0.5099999215$2.60
09-02 10:07Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?SELL0.003$0.01
09-02 10:06Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?SELL0.003$0.03
09-02 09:53Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.004$0.34
05-14 12:43Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.45$6.75
05-12 09:22Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.087$0.87
05-11 08:50Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.55
05-10 21:35Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$1.20
03-14 14:55Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?BUY0.11$1.10
03-14 13:28Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?BUY0.2596451048$3.00
03-13 23:09Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.115$1.15
03-13 22:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?BUY0.088$2.20
03-10 22:37Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?SELL0.057$0.57