324g55
0x0eb3f0dde17d8a77a7ee58d39b3cf4022c8b517d
- Realised P&L
- $184.08
- Volume
- $10.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) · Paraguay | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.00 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 19? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.00at 0.770Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5
- +$45.12at 0.760Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5
- +$22.40at 0.500Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)
- +$22.27at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7?
- +$22.09at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.01 |
| 09-28 14:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.86 |
| 08-31 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.29 |
| 07-07 01:54 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of July 6 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $10.42 |
| 07-01 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 2? | BUY | 0.979 | $7.54 |
| 06-23 00:39 | Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.99 | $9.17 |
| 06-16 01:25 | Spread: Jordan (-1.5) | BUY | 0.971 | $10.68 |
| 06-01 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $11.06 |
| 05-28 00:42 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 29? | BUY | 0.991 | $9.91 |
| 05-14 12:46 | Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.962 | $9.62 |
| 04-21 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 22? | BUY | 0.961 | $10.13 |
| 04-14 12:34 | Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.74 | $9.62 |
| 03-26 13:18 | Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $142.88 |
| 03-26 13:13 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $21.90 |
| 03-26 13:09 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $385.00 |