PolyBot

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Traders

324g55

0x0eb3f0dde17d8a77a7ee58d39b3cf4022c8b517d

Realised P&L
$184.08
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$22.50
Spread: Paraguay (-2.5) · Paraguay0.5000.000$0.00−$23.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on May 19? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$23.50
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on October 9? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$14.10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 8? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$13.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 00:41Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 1?BUY0.997$5.01
09-28 14:53Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 29?BUY0.994$5.86
08-31 15:28Will the highest temperature in Denver be 73°F or below on September 1?BUY0.998$5.29
07-07 01:54Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of July 6 2026?BUY0.94$10.42
07-01 01:27Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 2?BUY0.979$7.54
06-23 00:39Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)BUY0.99$9.17
06-16 01:25Spread: Jordan (-1.5)BUY0.971$10.68
06-01 02:39Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 2?BUY0.97$11.06
05-28 00:42Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 29?BUY0.991$9.91
05-14 12:46Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.962$9.62
04-21 13:38Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 22?BUY0.961$10.13
04-14 12:34Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 7.5BUY0.74$9.62
03-26 13:18Blackhawks vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5BUY0.76$142.88
03-26 13:13Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5BUY0.73$21.90
03-26 13:09Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5BUY0.77$385.00